Course curriculum

  • 1
    2023/24 Season Update
  • 2
    Introduction
    • Introduction
    • What does the data look like
  • 3
    The 538.com ELO model
    • 538.com ELO model part 1
    • The Quarterback adjustment
    • 538.com ELO model Part 2
    • Updating post match ELO ratings
  • 4
    Automating the ELO ratings process
    • Predicting outcomes using our automated ELO model
    • Post match outcomes using our automated ELO model
  • 5
    Market calibrated ratings and total points
    • Market calibrated ratings part 1
    • Market calibrated ratings part 2
    • Total Points
  • 6
    Super Bowl Outright winner model & other markets
    • Pricing Super Bowl winner and other markets
    • Quarterback passing yards prop
    • Prop bets - to score in every quarter
  • 7
    ELO Primer video
    • Elo ratings primer
  • 8
    Materials for download
    • All materials