Course curriculum

    1. Introduction

      FREE PREVIEW

    1. What is probability?

      FREE PREVIEW

    2. The Law of Large Numbers and Expected Value Part 1

      FREE PREVIEW

    3. The Law of Large Numbers and Expected Value Part 2

    4. Coding Exercise 1 - Coin Toss

    5. Odds formats and probabilities

    6. Bookmaking and overround in principle

    7. Overround in practice

    8. Practical Overround solution

    9. Coding exercise 2 - Overround solution part 1

    10. Coding exercise 2 - overround solution part 2

    11. Pricing exercise

    12. Underround books and arbitrage

    13. Cashout

    14. Cashout exercise

    15. Pricing Exercise 2

    1. Two important axioms of probability

    2. Propositions of probability - the complement rule

    3. Principles and Axioms Exercise 1

    4. Propositions of probability - the addition rule

    5. Principles and Axioms Exercise 2

    6. Propositions of probability - the multiplication rule

    7. Building a calculated pre-match tool with momentum

    8. Conditional probability

    9. A comment about conditional probability

    10. Conditional Probability pricing exercise

    1. Counting - Permutations

    2. Counting - Combinations

    3. Probability grids exercise

    4. Custom Functions in VBA (Factorials, Combinations, Permutations)

    1. What is a Probability Distribution?

    2. The Binomial Distribution Part 1

    3. The Binomial Distribution Part 2

    4. The Binomial Distribution Part 3

    5. Custom Functions in VBA - Binomial Distribution

    6. The Negative Binomial Distribution

    7. The Multinomial distribution

    8. Real world application of combinations with different probabilities

    9. The Poisson distribution Part 1

    10. The Poisson Distribution Part 2 and Exercise

    11. Building a Poisson Grid in VBA

    12. The Normal Distribution Part 1 - Derivation

    13. The Normal Distribution Part 2 - Standard Deviation

    14. The Normal Distribution Part 3 - Exercise

    15. The Exponential Distribution Part 1 - Derivation

    16. The Exponential Distribution Part 2 - Exercise

    17. The Exponential Distribution Part 3 - an alternative

    1. Why ratings systems are so useful

    2. The Bradley Terry Model - principle

    3. Bradley Terry Model - practical use coded version

    4. ELO Ratings - principle

    5. ELO model - practical use coded version

    6. An introduction to rating football teams

About this course

  • £500.00
  • 69 lessons
  • 12.5 hours of video content