Course curriculum

  • 1
    Introduction
  • 2
    Goal supremacy methods
    • 4.12 Goal expectation calibration to the market
    • 4.13 Simple goal supremacy model
    • 4.14 Maximum Likelihood Estimation
    • 4.15 Finding Goal Supremacy with the Maher model
    • 4.16 Finding goal supremacy with xG part 1
    • 4.17 Finding goal supremacy with xG part 2
    • 4.17b Finding your own xG values
    • 4.18 Finding goal supremacy from closing market values
    • 4.19 Weighting of results by time
    • 4.20 Relationship between goal supremacy and total goals
    • 4.21 Rating teams from other divisions
    • 4.22 Pricing week 1 of the EPL
    • 4.23 Bivariate Poisson function
  • 3
    Building Long Term Markets
    • 4.24 Building a league simulation part 1
    • 4.25 Building a league simulation part 2
    • 4.26 LT markets building a league sim pt 3 exercises
    • 4.27 Updating ratings
  • 4
    Goalscorers
    • 4.28 Goalscorers part 1
    • 4.29 Goalscorers part 2
    • 4.30 Goalscorers part 3
  • 5
    Other derived markets
    • 4.31 Corners
    • 4.32 Bookings 1
    • 4.33 Bookings 2
    • 4.34 Future topics
  • 6
    Building an in play football model in VBA
    • Building an in play football model in VBA