Football Pricing
A course designed for soccer odds compilers who want to know how to produce robust match and derivative odds for their chosen leagues.
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2
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4.12 Goal expectation calibration to the market
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4.13 Simple goal supremacy model
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4.14 Maximum Likelihood Estimation
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4.15 Finding Goal Supremacy with the Maher model
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4.16 Finding goal supremacy with xG part 1
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4.17 Finding goal supremacy with xG part 2
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4.17b Finding your own xG values
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4.18 Finding goal supremacy from closing market values
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4.19 Weighting of results by time
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4.20 Relationship between goal supremacy and total goals
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4.21 Rating teams from other divisions
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4.22 Pricing week 1 of the EPL
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4.23 Updating ratings
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4.24 Bivariate Poisson function
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3
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4.25 Building a league simulation part 1
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4.26 Building a league simulation part 2
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4.27 LT markets building a league sim pt 3 exercises
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4
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4.28 Goalscorers part 1
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4.29 Goalscorers part 2
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4.30 Goalscorers part 3
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5
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4.31 Corners
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4.32 Bookings 1
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4.33 Bookings 2
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6
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Building an in play football model in VBA
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Football model file for coding