Football Pricing
A course designed for soccer odds compilers who want to know how to produce robust match and derivative odds for their chosen leagues.
4.12 Goal expectation calibration to the market
4.13 Simple goal supremacy model
4.14 Maximum Likelihood Estimation
4.15 Finding Goal Supremacy with the Maher model
4.16 Finding goal supremacy with xG part 1
4.17 Finding goal supremacy with xG part 2
4.17b Finding your own xG values
4.18 Finding goal supremacy from closing market values
4.19 Weighting of results by time
4.20 Relationship between goal supremacy and total goals
4.21 Rating teams from other divisions
4.22 Pricing week 1 of the EPL
4.23 Updating ratings
4.24 Bivariate Poisson function
4.25 Building a league simulation part 1
4.26 Building a league simulation part 2
4.27 LT markets building a league sim pt 3 exercises
4.28 Goalscorers part 1
4.29 Goalscorers part 2
4.30 Goalscorers part 3
4.31 Corners
4.32 Bookings 1
4.33 Bookings 2
Building an in play football model in VBA
Football model file for coding