Course curriculum

  • 1
    Welcome
  • 2
    Basic Principles
  • 3
    Principles and Axioms of Probability
    • 2.09 Two important axioms of probability
    • 2.10 Propositions of probability 1 The complement rule
    • 2.11 Removal of overround to find fair probabilities
    • 2.12 Propositions of probability 2 The addition rule
    • 2.13 Propositions of probability 3 The multiplication rule
    • 2.14 Building a pre-match tool with momentum
    • 2.15 Conditional Probability
    • 2.16 Pricing exercise 1
  • 4
    Counting Techniques
    • 2.17 Counting part 1
    • 2.18 Counting part 2
    • 2.19 Pricing exercise 2 probability grids
  • 5
    Useful Probability Distributions
    • 2.20 What is a probability distribution
    • 2.21 The Binomial Distribution part 1
    • 2.22 The Binomial Distribution part 2
    • 2.23 The Binomial Distribution part 3
    • 2.24 Negative Binomial Distribution
    • 2.25 Multinomial distribution
    • 2.26 Poisson distribution part 1
    • 2.27 Poisson distribution part 2
    • 2.28 Normal Distribution part 1
    • 2.29 Normal Distribution part 2
    • 2.30 Normal Distribution Part 3
    • 2.31 Exponential Distribution Derivation and Characteristics
    • 2.32a Exponential Distribution Part 2
    • 2.32b Exponential Distribution Part 3 alternative
  • 6
    Ratings Systems
    • 2.33 Bradley Terry model
    • 2.34 Elo ratings
    • 2.35 Introduction to rating football teams
  • 7
    Simulation
    • 2.36 Simulation part 1
    • 2.37 Simulation part 2
    • 2.38 Simulation part 3
  • 8
    Useful Excel Formulas and Functions
    • 2.39 Excel Commands Functions and Formulas Part 1
    • 2.40 Excel Commands Functions and Formulas Part 2
    • 2.41 Excel Commands Functions and Formulas Part 3
    • 2.42 Excel Commands Functions and Formulas Part 4
    • 2.43 Excel Commands Functions and Formulas Part 5