Course curriculum

  • 1
    How to use this template
    • Online course introduction FREE PREVIEW
    • Excel materials for the course
    • 2.01 What is probability - Introduction to fixed odds betting FREE PREVIEW
    • 2.02 Law of Large Numbers and Expected value FREE PREVIEW
    • 2.03 Odds formats and probabilities
    • 2.04 Types of fixed odds prices
    • 2.05 Bookmaking and overround
    • 2.05a Overround application
    • 2.06 Gamblers fallacy
    • 2.07 Overbroke books and arbitrage
    • 2.08 Cashout
    • 2.09 Two important axioms of probability
    • 2.10 Propositions of probability 1 The complement rule
    • 2.11 Removal of overround to find fair probabilities
    • 2.12 Propositions of probability 2 The addition rule
    • 2.13 Propositions of probability 3 The multiplication rule
    • 2.14 Building a pre-match tool with momentum
    • 2.15 Conditional Probability
    • 2.16 Pricing exercise 1
    • 2.17 Counting part 1
    • 2.18 Counting part 2
    • 2.19 Pricing exercise 2 probability grids
    • 2.20 What is a probability distribution
    • 2.21 The Binomial Distribution part 1
    • 2.22 The Binomial Distribution part 2
    • 2.23 The Binomial Distribution part 3
    • 2.24 Negative Binomial Distribution
    • 2.25 Multinomial distribution
    • 2.26 Poisson distribution part 1
    • 2.27 Poisson distribution part 2
    • 2.28 Normal Distribution part 1
    • 2.29 Normal Distribution part 2
    • 2.30 Normal Distribution Part 3
    • 2.31 Exponential Distribution Derivation and Characteristics
    • 2.32a Exponential Distribution Part 2
    • 2.32b Exponential Distribution Part 3 alternative
    • 2.33 Bradley Terry model
    • 2.34 Elo ratings
    • 2.35 Introduction to rating football teams
    • 2.36 Simulation part 1
    • 2.37 Simulation part 2
    • 2.38 Simulation part 3
    • 2.39 Excel Commands Functions and Formulas Part 1
    • 2.40 Excel Commands Functions and Formulas Part 2
    • 2.41 Excel Commands Functions and Formulas Part 3
    • 2.42 Excel Commands Functions and Formulas Part 4
    • 2.43 Excel Commands Functions and Formulas Part 5